Reform proposals from European Business in Moldova
Moldova still lags behind comparable economies in GDP growth and investment. The main reason for this are deficits in the investment climate, requiring measures and reforms in many areas. In a joint study, the German Economic Team (GET) and the European Business Association (EBA) presented 21 proposals for reform, aimed at improving the business and investment climate and hence strengthening investment in Moldova.
Robust growth in 2019 despite political instability
The Moldovan economy grew by an estimated 4.2% in 2019, which is comparable to previous years. Growth was primarily driven by investments which increased by around 16%. Amidst buoyant investment activity, the construction sector showed the highest growth rate among the main sectors of the economy, increasing by 19% in 2019.
Change of government in Moldova, again
Maia Sandu’s government was dismissed in a no-confidence vote on 12 November, after her government assumed responsibility for a bill that would have put the Prime Minister in charge of the short-list of candidates for the Prosecutor General. This proved to be a no-go for her coalition partner, the Socialists Party, who were long insisting on a government reset. A new cabinet was appointed two days later, with the support of the weakened, but still numerous Democratic Party. Moldova’s Western partners expressed worry, reiterated the need to fight corruption, but said cooperation would continue based on principles of conditionality and respect for rule of law.
Current economic situation: investment-driven growth
Economic growth is expected to reach 4.2% in 2019, thus surpassing earlier forecasts. The main reason for high growth is the strong increase of investment by over 20% in the first half of 2019. This development is reflected by an expansion in the construction sector, which grew by ca. 27%.
Moldova’s new government – a country less divided, for now
An unlikely coalition was formed between the pro-Russian Socialists and the pro-EU ACUM bloc, after what looked like a geopolitical consensus between the USA, EU and Russia to oust Vladimir Plahotniuc, who had crossed too many lines lately.
The effect of the DCFTA on Moldovan exports to the EU
Moldova signed a deep and comprehensive free trade agreement (DCFTA) with the EU in 2014, which came into force in the same year. After almost five years of implementation, we analyse the impact of the DCFTA on Moldovan exports to the EU.
Household over-indebtedness with micro-financial institutions
The German Economic Team Moldova together with the National Commission for Financial Markets has collected data on household over-indebtedness with micro-financial institutions. Although the data in our sample is probably only an approximation of the actual situation, it is closing an information gap.
Parliamentary elections in Moldova – what to expect?
Parliamentary elections are set to take place in Moldova on February 24th. Similar to prior elections the government introduced new rules, which are supposed to influence the results somewhat. Among others, there is a new electoral system and the possibility to have referendums on election day.
Increasing consumer loan transparency: The role of the annual percentage rate of charge
Transparency in advertising of consumer loans is not only important for consumer protection reasons, but also for the stability of the financial sector. The average percentage rate of charge (APR) is, in this regard, a highly useful tool as it includes all the costs of a credit and expresses them in a single number, thus makes different loan offers easily comparable for borrowers. In this policy paper we analyse the transparency situation in the Moldovan consumer credit market with a focus on appropriate use of the APR in advertising.