GET Activities in Armenia

Economic Monitor Armenia – Issue 03 | August 2020 (update)

Overwiew: economic situation in 2020

  • GDP to drop by 1.5%; pre-COVID forecast: 5.5%
  • Strong reduction of private consumption and investment counteracted by gov spending
  • Budget deficit will amount to 5.0% of GDP, compared with pre-COVID plan of 2.3%
  • Current account deficit at 8.6% of GDP, only slightly higher than pre-COVID 8.4%
  • Strong decline in exports and remittances counterbalanced by large import contraction
  • But: lower FDI and reversal of private capital inflows create problems for financing the current account deficit
  • Augmentation of IMF stand by arrangement and immediate disbursement of USD 280 m key for financing both the budget and the current account deficit
  • Rather stable exchange rate, after temporary depreciation by 5% in March 2020
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Economic Monitor Armenia – Issue 02 | January 2020

Overview

  • Economic growth at ca. 7.0% in 2019, significantly higher than expected
  • Main driver was private consumption, on the back of robust retail lending
  • Investment activity declined in 2019, with negative implications on mid term growth
  • GDP is forecast to grow by 4.9% in 2020
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Economic Monitor Armenia – Issue 01 | October 2019

Overview

  • Economic growth in Q1 19 (7.2%) and Q2 19 (6.5%) significantly higher than expected
  • Budget surplus in 7M2019 due to high revenues & under execution of capital expenditures
  • Inflation forecast for 2019 at 2.1%; low inflation key ingredient of macroeconomic stability
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Policy Study 01/2019

Identifying promising target groups and key arguments for investment attraction measures of the Republic of Armenia

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